Nobel Select

Value Investing Portfolio & Research

Week 40 Recap & Week 41 Outlook

The S&P 500 closed Q3 near record highs as the Nasdaq 100 hit new records, the 10-year Treasury yield touched a 24-year high, and Brent topped $103 a barrel. Our Week 40 recap and Week 41 outlook.

Oct 04, 2026
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Week 40 Recap & Week 41 Outlook

The S&P 500 closed Q3 near record highs as the Nasdaq 100 hit new records, the 10-year Treasury yield touched a 24-year high, and Brent topped $103 a barrel. Our Week 40 recap and Week 41 outlook.

The Trillion-Dollar AI Platform War: Why Big Tech Is Buying the Future Operating System

The trillions poured into AI aren't about chatbots—they are funding a platform war. How hyperscalers use frontier models as loss-leaders to lock in cloud infrastructure.

Transaction Update: Doubling Our Position in Partners Group Ahead of Earnings

We have doubled our position in Partners Group (SIX: PGHN) ahead of the half-year results on 1 September.

$251,131
Portfolio Value
$4,616
Cash
-$4,981
Unrealized P/L
+$5,629
Realized P/L
+$1,131
+0.45%
Total Return
15
Holdings
$483
Dividends Received

Performance Comparison

Portfolio MSCI World S&P 500
Portfolio -0.5% total · -1.0% p.a.
MSCI World 18.5% total · 38.0% p.a.
S&P 500 21.9% total · 45.6% p.a.
Since Mar 2026 (0.5 yrs)

Current Holdings

Last updated: Oct 09, 2026 12:20
Symbol Company Sector Shares Avg Cost Current Total Value Gain/Loss Weight
BABA ▸ Alibaba Group Holding Limited Technology/Online 300 120.38 USD 105.70 USD $31,710.00 -$4,404.00
-12.19%
12.9%
PGHN.SW ▸ Partners Group Holding AG Finance 40 722.41 CHF 595.00 CHF $28,636.16 -$7,474.25
-20.70%
11.6%
9880.HK ▸ Ubtech Robotics Corp Ltd Technology 3,000 82.30 HKD 71.75 HKD $27,422.85 -$4,224.15
-13.35%
11.1%
SLVP ▸ iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF Miners/Commodities 800 32.90 USD 34.26 USD $27,408.00 $1,092.00
+4.15%
11.1%
0700.HK ▸ Tencent Holdings Ltd Technology 500 455.80 HKD 424.80 HKD $27,059.76 -$2,020.24
-6.95%
11.0%
IBM ▸ International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) Technology 100 242.50 USD 226.61 USD $22,661.00 -$1,589.00
-6.55%
9.2%
YTSN.MU ▸ Kuros Biosciences Ltd Biotech 1,000 20.33 EUR 19.40 EUR $21,741.58 -$1,818.59
-7.72%
8.8%
EWZ ▸ Ishares Msci Brazil ETF ETF 500 34.54 USD 42.59 USD $21,295.00 $4,025.00
+23.31%
8.6%
RHM.DE ▸ Rheinmetall AG Defense 20 1,061.40 EUR 932.50 EUR $20,901.06 -$3,725.43
-15.13%
8.5%
IAUP.L ▸ iShares Gold Producers UCITS ETF USD (Acc) Gold Producer Stocks ETF 500 37.97 USD 41.08 USD $20,540.00 $1,555.00
+8.19%
8.3%
IBM261016C ▸ IBM Oct 2026 300.000 call Hedge 100 -52.97 USD -0.15 USD -$15.00 $5,282.00
+99.72%
0.0%
META261016 ▸ META Oct 2026 550.000 put Technology 100 -48.25 USD -0.52 USD -$52.00 $4,773.00
+98.92%
0.0%
EWY261016P ▸ EWY Oct 2026 150.000 put Technology 100 -17.71 USD -0.53 USD -$53.00 $1,718.00
+97.01%
0.0%
AZN261016P ▸ AstraZeneca Oct 2026 165.000 put Pharma 200 -13.10 USD -3.20 USD -$640.00 $1,980.00
+75.57%
-0.3%
CPB261218P ▸ The Campbell's Company Dec 2026 20 put (CPB261218P00020000) Food processing 1,500 -1.30 USD -1.40 USD -$2,100.00 -$150.00
-7.69%
-0.9%

Closed Positions

Realized outcomes from positions no longer held
Symbol Company Realized P/L
ALC ▸ Alcon Inc. +$1,865.00
ALO.PA ▸ Alstom SA +$236.92
LLY ▸ Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) +$2,537.70

Public Watchlist

Companies we are currently researching
Symbol Company Current Price Target Buy Price Status Thesis
0QQI.L CENTIEL N 5.73 CHF 3.20 CHF 79.1% above target stock analysis 2026/4/19
ALC Alcon Inc. 63.13 USD 50.00 USD 26.3% above target We'll add a 2nd position at this price.
BIDU Baidu Inc 83.92 USD 88.00 USD In Buy Zone re-evaluating around $88